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23 Oct, 2015
Patricia
It's another beautiful day in Santa Monica: blue skies, a few high wisps of stratus clouds. But 1500 miles south of here is the strongest hurricane ever recorded in the Western Hemisphere. It will ...
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15 Oct, 2015
UNNERVED INVESTORS PULL SHUTTERS AS CAPITAL-MARKET CRACKS SPREAD
Ghana, which sold $1 billion in debt this month at 10.75 percent, is an example of a borrower that has been forced to offer a higher yield, according to Rosen. "Poor-quality borrowers, which they apparently are, have to pay up," Rosen said.
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13 Oct, 2015
I'm Swiss
No question, this has been a challenging year. Virtually every financial asset class is struggling. Stocks are down, bonds are down, gold is down, oil is down. US is down, non-US is down. Large caps ...
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2 Oct, 2015
Ursa Minor
The bears are stirring. Not yet rampaging, but there's a lot of red ink across most markets.Today's jobs report was weak. No honey-coating it, it was a treat for the bears. Payrolls rose 142,000, well ...
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1 Oct, 2015
3RD QUARTER 2015 - GO WEST (AND EAST, NORTH AND SOUTH)
Humans have inhabited the earth for what is a mere blink of the eye. The Universe was formed around 13 ÃÂ billion years ago, the Earth 7 billion years later, and in the past 4 ÃÂ billion years of the EarthÃs existence, the genus Homo arose just...
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24 Sep, 2015
Yogi
Baseball, more than any other sport, by far, has drawn its share of colorful characters. I don't know why that is, but it is.ÂThis week, we lost one of the greatest, maybe the greatest, of ...
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15 Sep, 2015
Drop (in the bucket)
Markets will fluctuate, as Pierpont Morgan caustically observed. And "fluctuate" means down as well as up. Perhaps I, too, am being caustically obvious, but I've long believed that a ...
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11 Sep, 2015
Mauled
Investors in Emerging Markets could be forgiven for feeling as if they've gone 15 rounds with Ronda Rousey (see below). ÂOr, more like 3 years with theÂthe best pound-for-pound fighter today ...
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4 Sep, 2015
Jobs
Markets have taken today's employment release as evidence of a weakeningÂjobs market. A mere 173,000 net new jobs were added in August, below the consensus figure of 217,000. But, coincidentally, ...
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2 Sep, 2015
PENSION FUND CALSTRS WEIGHS SHIFT TO SAFETY
Michael Rosen said that to contemplate such a move, investors need to understand their goal and then execute the strategy in a "systematic and disciplined" way.
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28 Aug, 2015
Picking Up the Pace
Lost amidst the market turmoil this week were a number of reports of a strengthening US economy. Consumer confidence soared last month, as did new home sales. Durable goods orders surprised with a 2% ...
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25 Aug, 2015
Jolt
Two weeks ago (13 August, No Panic (Yet)) I noted that the renminbi devaluation was officially described as a modest alignment with market forces, which may have been true, but that it was strongly ...
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20 Aug, 2015
Land of Borat
I probably should not confess to enjoying Borat (full title:ÂBorat: Cultural Learnings of America for Make Benefit Glorious Nation of Kazakhstan), 86 minutes of low-brow, sophomoric gags lest I ...
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13 Aug, 2015
No Panic (Yet)
Earlier this week, China devalued its currency 1.9% against the US dollar. On one level, this is not a big deal. China's currency has been appreciating considerably for many years (see Chart 1 for the ...
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5 Aug, 2015
Criminals in Diapers
Japan grew from the (literal) ashes of the Second World War to become the second largest economy in the world by creating products we all wanted. Some were revolutionary, like the Sony Walkman, some ...
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29 Jul, 2015
Dry Hole
Southern California just had the wettest July on record, the Angels were rained out of a home game for the first time in 20 years, and we're all getting excited that a strong El NiÃo is ...
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27 Jul, 2015
Hot Bidding
The housing recovery, from its worst downturn since at least the 1930s, has been steady, but much less robust than most had expected. There are many explanations offered, from mean banks who have ...
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27 Jul, 2015
OUTSOURCING HERE TO STAY BUT WILL CONTINUE TO EVOLVE
"It's unlike a lot of investment ideas that are really nothing more than fads; the OCIO concept is rooted in a good idea,"" Mr. Rosen added. "It's an approach that solves a number of challenges in a more efficient way."
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24 Jul, 2015
Plunging
Commodity prices are in free fall. The Bloomberg Commodity Price Index (5-year chart below) is off about 30% in the last year. Gold is dropping toward $1,000/oz., and oil (WTI) is back below ...
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22 Jul, 2015
CAPITAL GROUP CHAIRMAN JAMES ROTHENBERG DIES AT 69 OF HEART ATTACK
"He was one of the giants in the investment management world and was part of building Capital Group into one of the premier investment organizations,"" Michael Rosen, CIO of Angeles Advisors.
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13 Jul, 2015
Wild, Wild East
The central planners in Beijing have gotten so much right for the past three decades, that they might be forgiven for believing in their own infallibility. But it's one thing to shuffle resources ...
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13 Jul, 2015
TOWERS WATSON, WILLIS MERGER TO COMBINE STRENGTHS
"Towers Watson has the stronger investment consulting presence, and I would expect that group to lead the new group effort," Mr. Rosen said.
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6 Jul, 2015
ÏÏÎ
I'm not sure why the pundits were predicting the Greeks would volunteer to walk meekly to their certain ruin, but the vote yesterday apparently surprised these experts. European equities are down 1 ...
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1 Jul, 2015
2ND QUARTER 2015 - CLOSE HAUL
Sailing has been an inextricable companion of human development and civilization. Artifacts over 7,000 years old contain pictures of sail boats, more than 2,000 years before the domestication of the horse, making sailing our first non-bipedal...
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